Saia Inc Stock Performance

SAIA Stock  USD 384.91  5.83  1.54%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Saia holds a performance score of 17. The entity has a beta of 2.09, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Saia will likely underperform. Please check Saia's downside variance, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Saia's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Saia Inc are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat conflicting forward indicators, Saia sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.54
Five Day Return
(4.33)
Year To Date Return
14.16
Ten Year Return
1.3 K
All Time Return
3.9 K
Last Split Factor
3:2
Last Split Date
2013-06-14
1
Can Saia Inc. stock deliver sustainable ROE - Market Trend Summary Verified Entry Point Detection - newser.com
11/20/2025
2
Saia Stock Is Up, What You Need To Know
01/05/2026
3
Saia Announces Brand Alignment
01/15/2026
4
Saia Cut to Hold at Evercore ISI
01/16/2026
5
Why Saia Stock Is Up Today
01/21/2026
6
Saia Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates What to Know Ahead of Q4 Release
02/03/2026
7
Disposition of tradable shares by Anthony Norwood of Saia at 404.745 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/05/2026
8
Saia Reports Q4 Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings
02/09/2026
9
Saia outlines 100200 basis point OR improvement target as network expansion drives scale opportunities
02/10/2026
10
How Investors May Respond To Saia Record Revenue But Weaker Earnings And Lower 2026 Capex Plans
02/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow19.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-552.5 M

Saia Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  26,231  in Saia Inc on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  12,260  from holding Saia Inc or generate 46.74% return on investment over 90 days. Saia Inc is currently generating 0.6771% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.1081% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 27% of stocks are less volatile than Saia, and 87% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Saia is expected to generate 4.04 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.04 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Saia Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Saia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 384.91 90 days 384.91 
about 10.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Saia to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.18 (This Saia Inc probability density function shows the probability of Saia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.09 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Saia will likely underperform. Additionally Saia Inc has an alpha of 0.4072, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Saia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Saia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saia Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
346.42394.94398.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
346.42410.48413.59
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
358.95394.45437.84
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.691.971.98
Details

Saia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Saia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Saia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Saia Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Saia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.09
σ
Overall volatility
40.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Saia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Saia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Saia Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Saia Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Saia Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Saia Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: How Investors May Respond To Saia Record Revenue But Weaker Earnings And Lower 2026 Capex Plans

Saia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Saia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Saia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Saia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments19.7 M

Saia Fundamentals Growth

Saia Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Saia, and Saia fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Saia Stock performance.

About Saia Performance

By analyzing Saia's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Saia's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Saia has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Saia has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.10  0.11 
Return On Capital Employed 0.15  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.10  0.11 
Return On Equity 0.14  0.15 

Things to note about Saia Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Saia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Saia Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Saia Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Saia Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Saia Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: How Investors May Respond To Saia Record Revenue But Weaker Earnings And Lower 2026 Capex Plans
Evaluating Saia's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Saia's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Saia's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Saia's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Saia's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Saia's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Saia's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Saia's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Saia's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Saia's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Saia's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Saia's price analysis, check to measure Saia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Saia is operating at the current time. Most of Saia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Saia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Saia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Saia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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